Fablewings › Sri Lankan history › Part 15

The Long War and Its End (1990–2009)

Between 1990 and 2009 the war between the Sri Lankan state and the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) passed through three phases, broken by talks and a Norwegian-brokered ceasefire. A president, many politicians and tens of thousands of civilians and fighters died. It ended in May 2009 with the LTTE's defeat, but how the final months were fought, and how many civilians died, is still bitterly disputed.

Read in the page-turning reader

Eelam War II and the Premadasa years (1990–1993)

After Indian troops left in March 1990, President Ranasinghe Premadasa's talks with the LTTE collapsed within weeks. The fighting that followed, usually called Eelam War II, brought massacres on all sides, the expulsion of Muslims from the north, and assassinations that reached the top of two states.

1990: The Indians leave

The Indian Peace Keeping Force completed its withdrawal in March 1990, having lost more than 1,200 soldiers since 1987, according to IRIN. Premadasa, elected in December 1988 with 50.43 per cent of the vote, had pressed for its departure and was talking directly to the LTTE. With the Indians gone, the LTTE controlled much of the north.

June 1990: The police stations

In June 1990 the talks failed after the LTTE overran police stations in the Eastern Province. Many policemen surrendered on promises of safe passage and were then killed.

What the sources sayAccounts commonly put the police killed on 11 June 1990 at about 600, though counts vary. Al Jazeera's and Gulf News's timelines record only that talks failed when eastern police stations were overrun.

1990: Reprisals in the east

In late 1990 security forces were accused of killing or 'disappearing' many Tamils in Batticaloa and Amparai, while the LTTE massacred Muslim villagers, including 166 at Palliyagodella. Neighbouring communities were drawn into cycles of revenge.

What the sources sayFigures such as 4,500 Tamils killed or disappeared come from human rights compilations and are hard to verify. Read them as indications of scale, not exact counts.

October 1990: Expulsion of the northern Muslims

In October 1990 the LTTE ordered all Muslims out of the Northern Province, many with only hours' notice. About 72,000 people were displaced, most to camps in Puttalam.

The politicsThe LTTE presented the expulsion as a security measure after Tamil–Muslim violence in the east. Muslim leaders and rights groups call it ethnic cleansing. It remains a defining grievance for Sri Lankan Muslims and a point of tension within Tamil politics.

1991: Wijeratne and Elephant Pass

On 2 March 1991 a car bomb in Colombo killed Ranjan Wijeratne, the minister in charge of defence, in a blast that killed about 19 people; the LTTE was blamed. In July 1991 the LTTE besieged the army base at Elephant Pass, the causeway linking the Jaffna peninsula to the mainland. The month-long siege, the LTTE's first large conventional battle, left about 2,000 dead on both sides, Al Jazeera reported.

21 May 1991: Rajiv Gandhi killed

At an election meeting in Sriperumbudur, Tamil Nadu, a young woman known as Dhanu garlanded former Indian Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi and set off an explosive belt. Seventeen people died, including Gandhi and the bomber.

What the sources sayIndian investigators said the LTTE leadership planned it, fearing Gandhi would send troops back. In 1999 India's Supreme Court upheld the convictions of seven of 26 people sentenced by a special court. The LTTE long denied involvement; in 2006 Anton Balasingham called the killing a 'monumental historical tragedy' that it deeply regretted.

1991: The impeachment crisis

In 1991 Lalith Athulathmudali and Gamini Dissanayake led a move to impeach Premadasa, listing 24 alleged abuses of power. The Speaker rejected it in October. Expelled from the United National Party (UNP), they founded the Democratic United National Front (DUNF) on 28 November 1991.

The politicsSupporters saw Premadasa as a champion of the rural poor from outside the Colombo elite; critics accused him of authoritarian rule. The split weakened the UNP.

1992: Araly and Colombo

On 8 August 1992 a landmine at Araly, on Kayts island off Jaffna, killed Lieutenant General Denzil Kobbekaduwa, commander of northern operations, with Major General Vijaya Wimalaratne and Rear Admiral Mohan Jayamaha. On 16 November 1992 the navy commander, Clancy Fernando, was killed by a suicide bomber in Colombo. Both attacks were attributed to the LTTE.

23 April 1993: Athulathmudali shot

On the evening of 23 April 1993, DUNF leader Lalith Athulathmudali was shot dead while addressing a rally at Kirulapone, Colombo, weeks before provincial elections.

What the sources sayPolice said the gunman was an LTTE cadre whose body was found nearby the next morning; Scotland Yard, invited by Premadasa, backed this and found no evidence of government involvement. A presidential commission (report, October 1997) implicated Premadasa and associates, a finding his supporters rejected and critics call circumstantial. The case remains unresolved.

1 May 1993: Premadasa assassinated

At about 12.45 p.m. on 1 May 1993, as Premadasa watched the UNP May Day procession at Armour Street, Colombo, a suicide bomber on a bicycle blew himself up beside him.

What the sources sayGulf News reported Premadasa and at least 17 others killed; other accounts give 23 dead including the bomber. The bomber was said to be an LTTE cadre from Jaffna. The LTTE never formally admitted it, but most historians accept the attribution.

1993: Wijetunga and Pooneryn

Prime Minister D.B. Wijetunga was sworn in as president on 7 May 1993 to complete Premadasa's term. He treated the war chiefly as a terrorist problem. On 11 November 1993 the LTTE overran the army and navy complex at Pooneryn, across the lagoon from Jaffna. Several hundred soldiers and sailors were killed or went missing; official and press counts differ.

Timeline: Eelam War II
Mar 1990 — Indian Peace Keeping Force completes withdrawal
Jun 1990 — Talks collapse; eastern police stations overrun
Oct 1990 — LTTE expels about 72,000 Muslims from the north
May 1991 — Rajiv Gandhi killed at Sriperumbudur
Aug 1992 — Kobbekaduwa killed by landmine at Araly
Apr–May 1993 — Athulathmudali and Premadasa assassinated
Nov 1993 — LTTE overruns Pooneryn base

Kumaratunga: peace, then 'war for peace' (1994–2001)

Chandrika Kumaratunga came to power in 1994 promising peace. Talks failed within months, and her government fought on while offering devolution. The army retook Jaffna, but the LTTE won crushing victories at Mullaitivu, Kilinochchi and Elephant Pass.

1994: The People's Alliance

On 16 August 1994 the People's Alliance led by Chandrika Bandaranaike Kumaratunga, daughter of two prime ministers, won 105 of 225 seats on a peace platform and formed a government with smaller parties, ending 17 years of UNP rule. On 9 November she won the presidency with 62.28 per cent of the vote.

The politicsHer campaign tapped exhaustion with the war and the violence of 1987–89. Many Tamil voters backed her offer of a negotiated settlement.

24 October 1994: Thotalanga

During the presidential campaign, just after midnight on 24 October 1994, a suicide bomber struck a UNP rally at Thotalanga, Grandpass, in Colombo. About 50 people died, including the UNP candidate Gamini Dissanayake and several party leaders. No one claimed it, but the attack was attributed to the LTTE. Dissanayake's widow, Srima, stood in his place.

1995: Truce and its collapse

In January 1995 the two sides agreed to stop fighting and talk. On 19 April LTTE frogmen sank the navy gunboats Sooraya and Ranasuru at Trincomalee, opening Eelam War III.

What the sources sayEach side blamed the other. The government said the LTTE rearmed and raised demands; the LTTE said Colombo would not lift the economic embargo on the north. Historians differ on whether either side was ready to compromise.

1995: Navaly church

On 9 July 1995, during a government offensive on the Jaffna peninsula, bombs fell on the Church of St Peter and St Paul at Navaly, where displaced families sheltered. Rights groups and the ICRC attributed the strike to the air force; the government at first denied it.

What the sources sayInitial reports gave about 65 dead; later counts put the toll near 147 as wounded died. In 2020 former President Kumaratunga acknowledged an air force bombing and called it a mistake. Such gaps are common for events in areas closed to journalists.

1995: Operation Riviresa

From October 1995 the army's Operation Riviresa ('Sunray') pushed into the Jaffna peninsula and retook Jaffna town, held by the LTTE since 1990. Before it fell, a huge exodus moved into the Vanni: more than 300,000 people by press estimates, 400,000 by the government's.

What the sources sayTroops entered Jaffna on 2 December; the flag was raised over the city on 5 December. The BBC reported about 450 soldiers killed in the campaign. Whether civilians left freely or under LTTE pressure is disputed; both are reported.

31 January 1996: The Central Bank bomb

LTTE suicide bombers drove a lorry of explosives into the Central Bank in Colombo's business district. The blast and fire killed at least 90 people, mostly office workers, and injured about 1,400.

What the sources sayEarly reports gave lower tolls; later counts settled on at least 90 or 91 dead, including the bombers. The figure of about 1,400 injured is consistent across sources.

July 1996: Mullaitivu overrun

On 18 July 1996 the LTTE overran the army base at Mullaitivu in an operation it called 'Unceasing Waves'. It is often described as the army's worst single defeat. In response the army pushed south from Elephant Pass and took Kilinochchi in late September.

What the sources sayDefence ministry records list 1,173 killed; IRIN says 'more than 1,000'. A defence source quoted by journalist Iqbal Athas said 207 were killed after surrendering. Early official statements gave far lower figures, and the numbers were never fully reconciled.

1997: Jayasikurui

On 13 May 1997 the army launched Operation Jayasikurui ('Victory Assured'), a large multi-division offensive to open a land route through the Vanni to Jaffna. For about eighteen months troops fought slowly north, until the government announced the operation's end in December 1998 without reaching its goal.

What the sources sayGovernment and opposition figures for army dead ranged from about 1,300 to over 3,500; LTTE losses also ran into thousands. None were independently checked.

October 1997: World Trade Centre and US ban

In October 1997 the United States designated the LTTE a foreign terrorist organisation. The same month LTTE attackers bombed the new World Trade Centre towers in Colombo, killing 15 people. A presidential commission also reported that month on Athulathmudali's killing.

25 January 1998: The Temple of the Tooth

Days before Kandy was to host fiftieth-anniversary independence celebrations, LTTE suicide bombers drove a lorry into the Sri Dalada Maligawa, the most revered Buddhist shrine in the country. About 17 people were killed and the facade badly damaged.

The politicsThe toll of about 17 includes the three attackers. The government banned the LTTE the next day. An attack on a site holy to Sinhala Buddhists deepened hostility in the south; the temple was restored.

September 1998: Kilinochchi recaptured

On 27 September 1998 the LTTE stormed the army complex at Kilinochchi in 'Unceasing Waves II'; more than 1,000 soldiers were reported killed. Kilinochchi became the LTTE's administrative capital for ten years, with its own police, courts and tax offices. In India that year, a special court sentenced 26 people to death over Rajiv Gandhi's killing.

1999: Gonagala and Unceasing Waves III

On 29 July 1999 a suicide bomber killed Neelan Tiruchelvam, a moderate Tamil MP. In September the LTTE killed about 50 Sinhalese villagers at Gonagala in Ampara district. In November it launched 'Unceasing Waves III' and in days retook most of the Vanni ground lost in Jayasikurui.

18 December 1999: Attack on the president

At her final campaign rally at Colombo Town Hall, a suicide bomber attacked President Kumaratunga. She survived but lost the sight of one eye. Days later she was re-elected, defeating the UNP's Ranil Wickremesinghe.

What the sources sayAnalysts quoted by Al Jazeera thought a sympathy vote helped her; opponents argued she would have won anyway. The attack was attributed to the LTTE.

22 April 2000: Elephant Pass falls

The LTTE captured the wells at Iyakkachchi that supplied the Elephant Pass base, and on 22 April 2000 the army withdrew. LTTE forces then advanced into the Jaffna peninsula, but the line held short of Jaffna town.

What the sources sayTolls were disputed under wartime censorship: the LTTE claimed over 1,000 troops killed, while the defence ministry first gave 88 dead. Sri Lanka urgently bought arms abroad; India would not send troops.

2000: Norway steps in

In May 2000 Erik Solheim, Norway's special envoy, began talks with Sri Lankan leaders, starting a facilitation role both sides accepted. Rights groups estimated that more than a million Sri Lankans were displaced. In December 2000 the LTTE declared a unilateral ceasefire; it ended it on 24 April 2001.

24 July 2001: Katunayake

An LTTE commando unit attacked the air force base beside Bandaranaike International Airport, the country's only international airport. Aircraft were destroyed on the ground and tourism slumped. In 2001 the economy contracted, by about 1.4 per cent, for the first time since independence.

What the sources sayCommon counts give eight military aircraft and three SriLankan Airlines airliners destroyed, with others damaged. All 14 attackers and about seven security personnel were killed; tallies vary slightly.

December 2001: The UNP returns

Defections cost Kumaratunga her majority, and in the December 2001 election the UNP-led United National Front won. Ranil Wickremesinghe became prime minister, beginning an uneasy 'cohabitation' with a president from the rival party. On 19 December the LTTE declared a 30-day ceasefire, which the government matched two days later.

Timeline: Eelam War III
Apr 1995 — Navy gunboats sunk; truce ends
Dec 1995 — Army retakes Jaffna (Operation Riviresa)
Jan 1996 — Central Bank bombing in Colombo
Jul 1996 — LTTE overruns Mullaitivu base
Jan 1998 — Temple of the Tooth bombed; LTTE banned
Apr 2000 — Elephant Pass base falls to LTTE
Jul 2001 — Katunayake air base and airport attacked

Ceasefire, split and tsunami (2002–2005)

The 2002 ceasefire brought the longest calm in two decades. Yet talks stalled, the LTTE split, the southern leadership fractured, and in December 2004 the tsunami killed tens of thousands. By late 2005 a new president, Mahinda Rajapaksa, was in office and violence was rising.

22 February 2002: The Ceasefire Agreement

Brokered by Norway, the Ceasefire Agreement froze front lines, reopened roads and created the Nordic-staffed Sri Lanka Monitoring Mission (SLMM). Prabhakaran signed for the LTTE in the Vanni and Prime Minister Wickremesinghe for the government on 22 February; it took effect the next day. Prisoners were exchanged, and the LTTE ban was lifted that September.

The politicsPresident Kumaratunga criticised the deal. Sinhala nationalists said it handed the LTTE recognition and territory; supporters said it saved lives.

2002: Six rounds of talks

From September 2002 to March 2003 six rounds of talks were held in Thailand, Norway, Germany and Japan. In December 2002 the parties agreed to explore a federal solution within a united Sri Lanka.

What the sources sayTimelines record the LTTE as dropping its demand for a separate state. Some Tamil nationalists say the statement was only exploratory, and the LTTE did not repeat it later.

2003: Walk-out and the ISGA

On 21 April 2003 the LTTE suspended talks, saying it was not given an equal voice. The ceasefire held. On 31 October it proposed an Interim Self-Governing Authority (ISGA) for the north and east under its control, provoking a strong backlash in the south.

The politicsKumaratunga's camp said the UNP was conceding too much; UNP supporters said she sabotaged peace. In February 2004 she dissolved parliament.

March 2004: The Karuna split

On 3 March 2004 the LTTE's eastern commander, Vinayagamoorthy Muralitharan, known as Colonel Karuna, broke with Prabhakaran, claiming about 6,000 eastern fighters. He accused the northern leadership of discriminating against the east. In April LTTE forces moved against him and he fled; many of his cadres dispersed.

What the sources sayLTTE sources called him a traitor facing discipline. Rights groups later accused his faction of working with state support and recruiting children; the government denied directing it.

April 2004: The UPFA wins

In the April 2004 election Kumaratunga's United People's Freedom Alliance, which included the JVP, defeated the UNP, and Mahinda Rajapaksa became prime minister. In July a suicide bombing in Colombo was the first in the capital since 2001. Killings between the LTTE and the Karuna faction spread in the east.

26 December 2004: The tsunami

An undersea earthquake off Sumatra sent waves across the Indian Ocean that struck Sri Lanka's eastern, southern and western coasts within hours. Whole villages vanished. Groundviews puts the displaced at about half a million and houses destroyed at more than 100,000.

The tsunami death toll

No single figure is definitive.

What the sources sayThe government's Centre for National Operations reported 30,957 dead and 5,637 missing on 1 February 2005 (Al Jazeera). A later widely used total is 35,322 (Groundviews). Another tally gives 31,229 confirmed dead plus 4,093 missing. TamilNet reported about 8,000 dead in LTTE-held areas. The gaps reflect how the missing were counted.

The Queen of the Sea

Near Telwatta, south of Colombo, the wave struck the crowded Colombo–Galle 'Queen of the Sea' train, carrying at least 1,700 passengers. Nearly all died, in one of the worst rail disasters ever recorded.

2005: Rebuilding amid suspicion

Reconstruction cost more than US$3 billion. Half the damaged coast lay in war-affected areas, making access, Groundviews notes, complex and politically charged.

The politicsA 2005 plan for a joint aid mechanism with the LTTE (P-TOMS) divided the south: supporters saw it as trust-building, opponents as legitimising the LTTE. Many in the north and east felt aid reached the south faster.

12 August 2005: Kadirgamar

Foreign Minister Lakshman Kadirgamar was shot dead by a sniper at his Colombo home. A Tamil himself, he had led the diplomatic campaign for bans on the LTTE abroad. Police and the military blamed the LTTE, which denied it. A state of emergency was declared.

17 November 2005: Rajapaksa elected

After the Supreme Court ruled that Kumaratunga's term must end in 2005, Mahinda Rajapaksa defeated Wickremesinghe by 50.29 to 48.43 per cent, a margin of about 180,000 votes. The LTTE urged a boycott in areas it controlled.

What the sources sayMany analysts argue the boycott cost Wickremesinghe, seen as more open to talks, the presidency. Why the LTTE wanted this is debated; some suggest it preferred a hard-line opponent.

Late 2005: Warnings and killings

In late November 2005 Prabhakaran warned that the LTTE would intensify its struggle without a just settlement. In December mine attacks killed dozens of soldiers. On 25 December Joseph Pararajasingham, a Tamil National Alliance MP, was shot dead in Batticaloa; each side blamed the other's allies.

Eelam War IV: the east (2006–2007)

During 2006 the ceasefire collapsed in all but name. A dispute over sluice gates at Mavil Aru triggered a campaign that drove the LTTE from the Eastern Province by July 2007. Attacks on civilians, aid workers and politicians rose sharply.

February–April 2006: Geneva and collapse

In February 2006 the two sides met in Geneva and reaffirmed the ceasefire. Attacks soon resumed. On 12 April a market bombing and riots in Trincomalee left at least 16 dead. On 25 April a suicide bombing at army headquarters in Colombo killed eight and wounded the army commander, Sarath Fonseka. The LTTE withdrew from talks indefinitely.

May–June 2006: Bans and bombs

On 29 May 2006 the European Union listed the LTTE as a terrorist organisation. On 15 June a mine attack on a bus at Kebithigollewa killed more than 60 civilians.

What the sources sayThe government and most international reports blamed the LTTE for Kebithigollewa; the LTTE denied it. The SLMM's rulings in this period blamed both sides for violations.

July 2006: Mavil Aru

The LTTE closed the sluice gates of the Mavil Aru reservoir near Trincomalee, cutting water that the government said served 15,000 families and 30,000 acres of paddy. The army launched an operation; the LTTE said it reopened the gates on 8 August, and the government announced it had taken them days later.

What the sources saySources date the closure between 20 and 26 July. The LTTE called it a protest on behalf of local residents; the government called it hostile. Many historians date Eelam War IV from here.

August 2006: Muttur

Fighting in and around the eastern town of Muttur in early August killed civilians and displaced thousands. On 4 August seventeen local staff of the French charity Action Contre la Faim (Action Against Hunger) were shot dead. The ceasefire monitors blamed the security forces; the government denied it and blamed the LTTE. On 12 August peace activist Ketheesh Loganathan was shot dead in Colombo, a killing attributed to the LTTE.

October–November 2006: Habarana and Geneva II

On 16 October 2006 a suicide truck bomb hit a naval convoy at Digampathana near Habarana, killing about 100 people, mostly sailors, one of the deadliest suicide attacks of the war. Talks in Geneva later that month produced nothing. On 10 November TNA MP Nadarajah Raviraj was shot dead in Colombo; the TNA blamed pro-government paramilitaries.

2007: Vakarai and the A5

From late 2006 the army attacked Vakarai, the LTTE's coastal stronghold in Batticaloa district, and it fell on 19 January 2007. Kokkadicholai was taken on 28 March, and on 12 April the A5 highway came under government control for the first time in 15 years.

What the sources sayAid agencies reported shelling of populated areas; the government said the LTTE used civilians as cover.

11 July 2007: Thoppigala

Troops took Thoppigala, a forested rock in Batticaloa district, after a three-month battle, ending the LTTE's conventional presence in the east. The government held victory celebrations in Colombo.

The politicsThe government presented the 'liberation of the east' as proof the LTTE could be beaten. Tamil parties and rights groups stressed displacement and the power given to armed ex-rebels.

2 November 2007: Tamilselvan killed

An air force strike in Kilinochchi district killed S.P. Tamilselvan, head of the LTTE's political wing and its chief negotiator in the 2002–03 talks. In December the army overran the LTTE position at Parappakandal, Gulf News recorded, as the front moved towards the Vanni.

The northern offensive (2008)

In January 2008 the government withdrew from the ceasefire. A rapidly expanded army advanced on several fronts into the Vanni, pushing the LTTE back towards Kilinochchi, while bombings struck the south.

January 2008: The ceasefire ends

The government formally withdrew from the 2002 agreement, and the monitors left. On 8 January a roadside bomb at Ja-Ela killed D.M. Dassanayake, minister of nation building; the LTTE was blamed.

The politicsThe government said the ceasefire had become cover for LTTE rearmament; Norway and many Western states regretted the move. With Rajapaksa, his brother Gotabaya as defence secretary and Fonseka as army chief, the war had a unified command.

April 2008: Weliveriya and Muhamalai

On 6 April 2008 a suicide bomber at the start of a marathon at Weliveriya killed Jeyaraj Fernandopulle, minister of highways, and others. Later that month an army advance at Muhamalai, on the Jaffna front, was repulsed with heavy losses; the two sides' casualty figures differed widely.

May–September 2008: The western push

Troops advanced up the north-west coast from Mannar, capturing Adampan in May, the Sea Tiger base at Vidattaltivu in July, Vellankulam in August and Mallavi in September. Civilians moved ahead of the fighting, many several times.

Myth and correctionOne Gulf News timeline dates the fall of Kilinochchi to October 2008 and Mullaitivu to December 2008. Contemporary reporting shows both fell in January 2009.

November–December 2008: Pooneryn and Paranthan

On 15 November 2008 the army captured Pooneryn, opposite Jaffna. On 23 November it began a three-pronged attack on Kilinochchi, which held through December. Paranthan, just to the north, fell on 31 December.

What the sources sayCasualty claims clashed: for 16 December the LTTE claimed 130 soldiers killed; the army said 25 died and 18 were missing.

The final months (January–May 2009)

In five months the LTTE lost its capital, its coast and finally its leaders. Hundreds of thousands of civilians were trapped in a shrinking strip of land. What happened there is the most serious and lasting controversy of the war.

January 2009: Kilinochchi and Mullaitivu

Troops entered Kilinochchi on 2 January; Rajapaksa called it an unparalleled victory. Elephant Pass fell on 9 January and Mullaitivu town on 25 January. Journalists were barred, so claims could not be independently verified, Al Jazeera noted. On 8 January the critical editor Lasantha Wickrematunge was murdered in Colombo.

January 2009: The first 'safe zone'

The government declared a 'safe zone' of about 35 square kilometres and urged civilians to enter it. The UN estimated more than 300,000 people were trapped in the combat area.

What the sources sayThe UN Panel of Experts found credible allegations that the army shelled the zones it declared. The government said it used no heavy weapons there and that the LTTE fired from civilian areas. The panel found the LTTE used civilians as a buffer.

February 2009: The hospitals

On 1 February Puthukkudiyiruppu hospital, the only functioning hospital in the combat zone, was hit; the ICRC put the dead at nine. HRW and other groups documented repeated shelling of hospitals in the following months.

What the sources sayThe UN Panel of Experts found credible allegations that the army shelled hospitals. Defence Secretary Gotabaya Rajapaksa reportedly said hospitals outside the safety zone were legitimate targets. The LLRC accepted that hospitals were shelled but could not determine who fired.

12 February 2009: The second zone

The government declared a new No Fire Zone of about 12 kilometres along the coast, between the Nanthikadal lagoon and the sea. Tens of thousands crowded into tents on the sand. The LTTE moved its remaining forces into and around the strip. On 20 February LTTE light aircraft tried to bomb Colombo and were shot down.

Who was trapped, and how many?

The size of the trapped population mattered greatly for food and medicine.

What the sources sayThe government's estimates were far below those of UN agencies. The UN Panel of Experts concluded that the government deliberately understated the population, limiting supplies. In the end about 290,000 people reached government camps, according to the panel.

April 2009: The great exodus

Government forces took Puthukkudiyiruppu, pushing the LTTE and civilians into the zone. On 20 April troops breached LTTE earth walls and tens of thousands crossed into government lines. By 28 April over 150,000 displaced people were in camps; the UN said 50,000 remained trapped.

April 2009: Diplomatic pressure

The British and French foreign ministers visited Colombo seeking a humanitarian ceasefire, and a brief 48-hour truce was declared in April. Large diaspora protests in London and other cities demanded a halt.

The politicsThe government saw ceasefire calls as attempts to rescue the LTTE. Tamil groups abroad said the world was watching a massacre. Most governments urged both sides to protect civilians.

May 2009: The last strip

The zone shrank to a few square kilometres around Mullivaikkal. On 16 May Rajapaksa declared the LTTE militarily defeated. The last fighting took place on 17–18 May beside the Nanthikadal lagoon.

18 May 2009: The end of the LTTE

Fonseka said the military had liberated the country from terrorism. Leaders reported killed included Soosai of the Sea Tigers, intelligence chief Pottu Amman, Prabhakaran's son Charles Anthony, and political figures Balasingham Nadesan and Seevaratnam Pulidevan.

What the sources sayRights groups allege some leaders were killed after trying to surrender under white flags; the government denies it. HRW noted the LLRC left these allegations out.

Prabhakaran's death

Velupillai Prabhakaran, who had led the LTTE since 1976, was reported killed on 18 May.

What the sources sayEarly reports said he died in a van trying to escape. Later army accounts said his body was found on 19 May on the Nanthikadal shore with a dog tag and identity card. Karuna identified it, and the army says DNA confirmed it. Claims that he survived lack any evidence.

19 May 2009: Victory declared

Rajapaksa told parliament that terrorism had been totally defeated. In the south there were celebrations; in the north and the diaspora, grief and fear for the missing. Nearly 290,000 survivors were held in military-run camps near Vavuniya.

Mullivaikkal

The coastal strip at Mullivaikkal where the war ended is remembered each May by many Tamils as a place of mourning. The state marks the same week as a victory over terrorism.

Late 2009: The camps

More than 10,000 people identified as LTTE members were held in rehabilitation centres. By December 2009 many displaced civilians had been released from the camps. In August LTTE financier Selvarasa Pathmanathan ('KP') was detained in Malaysia and handed to Sri Lanka. An October US State Department report to Congress detailed alleged violations by both sides.

Timeline: The final phase
2 Jan 2009 — Army enters Kilinochchi
25 Jan 2009 — Mullaitivu town captured
12 Feb 2009 — Coastal No Fire Zone declared
20 Apr 2009 — Tens of thousands of civilians cross army lines
16 May 2009 — President declares LTTE militarily defeated
18–19 May 2009 — Prabhakaran killed; war declared over

Counting the dead and seeking accountability

The war's end opened a long argument over numbers, responsibility and memory. The UN Secretary-General's Panel of Experts and Sri Lanka's own Lessons Learnt and Reconciliation Commission reached very different conclusions.

The UN country team's count

During the fighting UN staff in Colombo compiled a tally of civilian deaths.

What the sources sayIt counted 7,721 civilian deaths and 18,479 injuries from August 2008 to 13 May 2009, when counting became too difficult. It was not officially published. The Panel of Experts judged it too low, as it counted only verified deaths and stopped before the worst fighting.

2011: The UN Panel of Experts

Ban Ki-moon's panel, chaired by Marzuki Darusman with Yasmin Sooka and Steven Ratner, reported in April 2011. It found credible allegations of serious violations by both sides: government shelling of No Fire Zones and hospitals and denial of aid, and LTTE use of civilians as a buffer, shooting of escapees and forced recruitment. It said most civilian deaths were caused by government shelling.

Up to 40,000: the figure and its basis

The panel did not claim an exact total.

What the sources sayIt said a number of credible sources put civilian deaths at as many as 40,000, perhaps several times the UN's 7,721. Illustrative calculations it discussed ranged from 15,000–22,500 (from injury ratios) to about 75,000 (from population figures). A 2012 government enumeration in the north counted about 7,000 dead and 2,500 missing.

The government's position

The government refused to cooperate with the panel and called its report fundamentally flawed, saying it relied on unverified claims.

What the sources sayIt called the report fundamentally flawed and biased, and Foreign Minister G.L. Peiris said the panel exceeded its advisory mandate. The government denied deliberately harming civilians, describing a humanitarian operation to free people held by the LTTE, and acknowledged some deaths in crossfire.

Figures for the whole war

Estimates of total deaths over the whole war are also disputed.

What the sources sayUN officials estimated 80,000–100,000 deaths over 26 years. Uppsala and PRIO data, cited by the Polynational War Memorial, give about 70,785 battle deaths (range 64,185–93,353). Media often say over 70,000. These cover combatants and civilians.

2010–2011: The LLRC

Rajapaksa appointed the LLRC on 15 May 2010, chaired by C.R. de Silva. Its report, tabled on 16 December 2011, found the forces had not deliberately targeted civilians, while accepting considerable civilian casualties and shelled hospitals. It recorded grave LTTE violations, including use of human shields, and urged investigations and reforms on land and devolution.

The LLRC's critics and defenders

Reactions split along familiar lines.

What the sources sayHRW and the International Crisis Group said it accepted official accounts uncritically and fell short on accountability; the TNA sought an international mechanism. Some Sinhala nationalists said it went too far. India urged implementation. Verité Research, monitoring its 189 recommendations, found implementation slow and partial.

Evidence and its limits

Historians of the final phase face unusual problems of evidence.

What the sources sayJournalists and most aid workers were absent. Government doctors who reported casualties were detained and, at a government press conference, retracted; Amnesty said statements made in detention could not be treated as reliable. Satellite images, videos and survivor accounts are contested; both sides' statements served propaganda needs.

Competing memories

For many Sinhalese the war's end freed the country from decades of bombings. For many Tamils May 2009 means mass death at Mullivaikkal. Muslims recall the 1990 expulsion and eastern massacres.

Myth and correctionClaims of 'zero civilian casualties', or of no LTTE abuses, are contradicted by the main inquiries, which found grave alleged violations by both parties.

Looking back: The Long War and Its End

Historians agree 1990–2009 was the most violent era of modern Sri Lanka. They debate why peace failed: LTTE maximalism, southern rivalry, weak mediation, or a world less tolerant of insurgents after 2001. The military victory is plain; the civilian toll, the fate of the missing and a political settlement remain open questions in Sri Lanka and at the UN.

← Part 14Part 16 →